Archive
Every published analysis, newest first. Each article separates what current evidence supports from what remains scenario or speculation, and lists the primary sources used.
A practical method for futures thinking: forecasting versus scenarios, megatrends, weak signals, base rates, adoption curves, second-order effects and black swans.
19 May 2026 · 15 min read
Launch economics, satellite constellations, Earth observation, in-space manufacturing and lunar programmes — with speculative long-run scenarios clearly labelled.
5 May 2026 · 13 min read
Autonomous vehicles, traffic systems, flexible grids, public transport, digital infrastructure and robotics in cities — plus privacy, procurement and resilience.
21 April 2026 · 13 min read
An informational analysis of AI in drug discovery, diagnostics, biomarkers, personalised and preventive medicine, and ageing research — with evidence and limits stated clearly.
7 April 2026 · 13 min read
How AI-mediated commerce, autonomous transactions, digital money, tokenisation and machine-to-machine payments could reshape the plumbing of the economy.
24 March 2026 · 13 min read
Where humanoid and mobile robots realistically fit: manufacturing, warehousing, care, construction and households — assessed through dexterity, economics, safety and acceptance.
10 March 2026 · 13 min read
Multimodal systems, reasoning, memory, tool use, embodiment, personalisation and scientific AI — what is demonstrated today and what remains speculation.
25 February 2026 · 13 min read
A task-level analysis of AI and employment: automation versus augmentation, productivity, new occupations, skills, and three scenarios for work in 2035.
11 February 2026 · 14 min read
Agentic AI moves software from answering questions to taking actions. An analysis of delegation, trust, identity, security and oversight — with the capability gaps stated plainly.
28 January 2026 · 13 min read
A scenario-based look at ten technologies — AI agents, robotics, personalised medicine, storage, computing, synthetic biology, mobility, space and interfaces — and what each could plausibly change by 2035.
14 January 2026 · 14 min read